Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise CareRx Corporation's (TSE:CRRX) Revenues Pushing Shares 28% Higher

TSX:CRRX
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CareRx Corporation (TSE:CRRX) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 10% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that CareRx's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Retailing industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for CareRx

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CRRX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024

How CareRx Has Been Performing

CareRx hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CareRx.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, CareRx would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 2.9%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 129% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.4% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 3.1% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why CareRx is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.

What Does CareRx's P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now CareRx's P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've seen that CareRx maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for CareRx that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on CareRx, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CareRx is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.