Stock Analysis

    Should You Be Adding Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSE:ATD.B) To Your Watchlist Today?

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    Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can easily find investors. But as Warren Buffett has mused, 'If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.' When they buy such story stocks, investors are all too often the patsy.

    In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSE:ATD.B). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

    View our latest analysis for Alimentation Couche-Tard

    Alimentation Couche-Tard's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

    If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price will eventually follow. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. It certainly is nice to see that Alimentation Couche-Tard has managed to grow EPS by 18% per year over three years. As a general rule, we'd say that if a company can keep up that sort of growth, shareholders will be smiling.

    I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). Unfortunately, Alimentation Couche-Tard's revenue dropped 16% last year, but the silver lining is that EBIT margins improved from 5.7% to 7.9%. That falls short of ideal.

    The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

    earnings-and-revenue-history
    TSX:ATD.B Earnings and Revenue History August 13th 2021

    Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for Alimentation Couche-Tard.

    Are Alimentation Couche-Tard Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

    We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a CA$55b company like Alimentation Couche-Tard. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. Notably, they have an enormous stake in the company, worth US$3.1b. This suggests to me that leadership will be very mindful of shareholders' interests when making decisions!

    Is Alimentation Couche-Tard Worth Keeping An Eye On?

    For growth investors like me, Alimentation Couche-Tard's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. Further, the high level of insider ownership impresses me, and suggests that I'm not the only one who appreciates the EPS growth. So this is very likely the kind of business that I like to spend time researching, with a view to discerning its true value. It is worth noting though that we have found 1 warning sign for Alimentation Couche-Tard that you need to take into consideration.

    You can invest in any company you want. But if you prefer to focus on stocks that have demonstrated insider buying, here is a list of companies with insider buying in the last three months.

    Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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