Stock Analysis

Here's What's Concerning About Canada Goose Holdings' (TSE:GOOS) Returns On Capital

TSX:GOOS
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What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Canada Goose Holdings (TSE:GOOS) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Canada Goose Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = CA$131m ÷ (CA$1.7b - CA$459m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to January 2023).

Therefore, Canada Goose Holdings has an ROCE of 11%. In isolation, that's a pretty standard return but against the Luxury industry average of 18%, it's not as good.

See our latest analysis for Canada Goose Holdings

roce
TSX:GOOS Return on Capital Employed March 17th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Canada Goose Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Canada Goose Holdings.

How Are Returns Trending?

In terms of Canada Goose Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 11% from 24% five years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

The Bottom Line On Canada Goose Holdings' ROCE

In summary, Canada Goose Holdings is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 42% in the last five years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Canada Goose Holdings that we think you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.