GFL Environmental Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
GFL Environmental is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 21.5% and 1.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 21.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.4% in 3 years.
Key information
21.5%
Earnings growth rate
21.45%
EPS growth rate
| Commercial Services earnings growth | 24.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.3% |
| Future return on equity | 7.38% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 12 May 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
We Think Some Shareholders May Hesitate To Increase GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) CEO Compensation
May 07
These 4 Measures Indicate That GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Mar 20GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Just Released Its Full-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Mar 03What Does GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Share Price Indicate?
Feb 18Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL)
Jan 12GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Dec 21
Renewable Strategies And Tactical Divestitures Propel Growth And Financial Resilience
Nov 09 GFL's strategy of focusing on recycling and renewable natural gas is driving revenue and earnings growth through disciplined pricing and operational efficiencies.We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Nov 01An Intrinsic Calculation For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Suggests It's 27% Undervalued
Jul 12GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
Jun 14What Does GFL Environmental Inc.'s (TSE:GFL) Share Price Indicate?
May 24Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 7,750 | N/A | 1,024 | 1,916 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 7,045 | 108 | 954 | 1,740 | 15 |
| 12/31/2025 | 6,583 | 3,499 | 750 | 1,379 | 11 |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,990 | -813 | 239 | 1,451 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,862 | -803 | 347 | 1,540 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,389 | -696 | 269 | 1,376 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,265 | -786 | 53 | 1,155 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,148 | -20 | -30 | 1,051 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,516 | -47 | -75 | 980 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,454 | -130 | -77 | 982 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,395 | -333 | 162 | 1,142 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 7,159 | -543 | 280 | 1,113 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6,761 | -184 | 331 | 1,096 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 6,380 | -120 | 218 | 977 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,930 | -246 | 219 | 915 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,438 | -266 | 142 | 861 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,137 | -681 | 251 | 898 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,933 | -1,193 | 237 | 778 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,587 | -978 | 319 | 810 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,365 | -1,135 | 306 | 765 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,196 | -1,116 | 74 | 502 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,857 | -689 | 22 | 472 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,719 | -684 | -174 | 297 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,557 | -636 | -238 | 220 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,347 | -452 | -207 | 251 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,068 | -450 | -151 | 251 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,621 | -392 | -164 | 188 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,242 | -520 | -271 | 19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,853 | -483 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,333 | -101 | N/A | 126 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 934 | -152 | N/A | 81 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GFL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.4%).
Earnings vs Market: GFL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: GFL is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: GFL's revenue (1.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (4.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GFL's revenue (1.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: GFL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/05/12 05:14 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/05/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
GFL Environmental Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Murray | ATB Capital Markets |
| Moses Sutton | Barclays |
| Moses Sutton | Barclays |