Stock Analysis

Should You Be Tempted To Buy Russel Metals Inc (TSE:RUS) Because Of Its PE Ratio?

TSX:RUS
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Russel Metals Inc (TSX:RUS) trades with a trailing P/E of 15x, which is lower than the industry average of 16.1x. While this makes RUS appear like a great stock to buy, you might change your mind after I explain the assumptions behind the P/E ratio. In this article, I will deconstruct the P/E ratio and highlight what you need to be careful of when using the P/E ratio. See our latest analysis for Russel Metals

Demystifying the P/E ratio

TSX:RUS PE PEG Gauge Mar 13th 18
TSX:RUS PE PEG Gauge Mar 13th 18

P/E is often used for relative valuation since earnings power is a chief driver of investment value. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

Formula

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

P/E Calculation for RUS

Price per share = CA$30.01

Earnings per share = CA$2.004

∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = CA$30.01 ÷ CA$2.004 = 15x

The P/E ratio isn’t a metric you view in isolation and only becomes useful when you compare it against other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to RUS, such as capital structure and profitability. A common peer group is companies that exist in the same industry, which is what I use below. Since it is expected that similar companies have similar P/E ratios, we can come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios are different.

RUS’s P/E of 15x is lower than its industry peers (16.1x), which implies that each dollar of RUS’s earnings is being undervalued by investors. Therefore, according to this analysis, RUS is an under-priced stock.

Assumptions to watch out for

While our conclusion might prompt you to buy RUS immediately, there are two important assumptions you should be aware of. The first is that our peer group actually contains companies that are similar to RUS. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to some other factors. For example, if you are inadvertently comparing lower risk firms with RUS, then RUS’s P/E would naturally be lower than its peers, since investors would value those with lower risk with a higher price. The other possibility is if you were accidentally comparing higher growth firms with RUS. In this case, RUS’s P/E would be lower since investors would also reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing RUS to are fairly valued by the market. If this assumption is violated, RUS's P/E may be lower than its peers because its peers are actually overvalued by investors.

TSX:RUS Future Profit Mar 13th 18
TSX:RUS Future Profit Mar 13th 18

What this means for you:

If your personal research into the stock confirms what the P/E ratio is telling you, it might be a good time to add more of RUS to your portfolio. But keep in mind that the usefulness of relative valuation depends on whether you are comfortable with making the assumptions I mentioned above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for RUS’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for RUS’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has RUS been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of RUS's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.