Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise CAE Inc.'s (TSE:CAE) Earnings

TSX:CAE
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.3x CAE Inc. (TSE:CAE) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

CAE certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for CAE

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CAE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 24th 2023
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CAE will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as CAE's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 135% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 316% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per annum as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why CAE is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From CAE's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that CAE maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for CAE that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on CAE, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.