Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For Bird Construction Inc. (TSE:BDT) As Its Stock Soars 27%

TSX:BDT
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Bird Construction Inc. (TSE:BDT) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. The last month tops off a massive increase of 184% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, Bird Construction may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.3x, since almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times have been pleasing for Bird Construction as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Bird Construction

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:BDT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 1st 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Bird Construction's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Bird Construction would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 74%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 53% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 33% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Bird Construction's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The large bounce in Bird Construction's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Bird Construction maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Bird Construction (including 1 which is concerning).

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bird Construction might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.