Stock Analysis

Badger Infrastructure Solutions' (TSE:BDGI) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

TSX:BDGI
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What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. In light of that, from a first glance at Badger Infrastructure Solutions (TSE:BDGI), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Badger Infrastructure Solutions, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.023 = CA$10m ÷ (CA$584m - CA$124m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).

Therefore, Badger Infrastructure Solutions has an ROCE of 2.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 9.5%.

See our latest analysis for Badger Infrastructure Solutions

roce
TSX:BDGI Return on Capital Employed August 9th 2021

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Badger Infrastructure Solutions compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Badger Infrastructure Solutions Tell Us?

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Badger Infrastructure Solutions. About five years ago, returns on capital were 14%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Badger Infrastructure Solutions becoming one if things continue as they have.

While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 21%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 2.3%. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.

Our Take On Badger Infrastructure Solutions' ROCE

All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Yet despite these concerning fundamentals, the stock has performed strongly with a 45% return over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.

If you want to continue researching Badger Infrastructure Solutions, you might be interested to know about the 4 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.

While Badger Infrastructure Solutions may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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