Stock Analysis

Why ATS Corporation (TSE:ATS) Could Be Worth Watching

TSX:ATS
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ATS Corporation (TSE:ATS), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the TSX over the last few months, increasing to CA$64.16 at one point, and dropping to the lows of CA$54.52. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether ATS' current trading price of CA$54.52 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at ATS’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for ATS

Is ATS Still Cheap?

ATS appears to be overvalued by 38% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at CA$54.52 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of CA$39.42. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that ATS’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will ATS generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:ATS Earnings and Revenue Growth August 22nd 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. ATS' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 76%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? ATS’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ATS should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ATS for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for ATS, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about ATS as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Be aware that ATS is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.