AtkinsRéalis (TSE:ATRL), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the TSX gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The company is inching closer to its yearly highs following the recent share price climb. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine AtkinsRéalis’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
See our latest analysis for AtkinsRéalis
What Is AtkinsRéalis Worth?
According to our valuation model, AtkinsRéalis seems to be fairly priced at around 14% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy AtkinsRéalis today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth CA$62.61, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that AtkinsRéalis’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What does the future of AtkinsRéalis look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. AtkinsRéalis' earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ATRL’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ATRL, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for AtkinsRéalis (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
If you are no longer interested in AtkinsRéalis, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:ATRL
AtkinsRéalis Group
AtkinsRéalis operates as an integrated professional services and project management company worldwide.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.