Stock Analysis

Is There Now An Opportunity In Linamar Corporation (TSE:LNR)?

TSX:LNR
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While Linamar Corporation (TSE:LNR) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it led the TSX gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Linamar’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Linamar

What Is Linamar Worth?

According to my valuation model, Linamar seems to be fairly priced at around 4.7% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Linamar today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth CA$79.03, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Linamar’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Linamar look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:LNR Earnings and Revenue Growth March 3rd 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Linamar's revenue growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. Unless expenses grow at the same level, or higher, this top-line growth should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? LNR’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on LNR, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Linamar at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Linamar and you'll want to know about it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.