Stock Analysis

Companhia CELG de Participações S/A's (BVMF:GPAR3) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

BOVESPA:GPAR3
Source: Shutterstock

Most readers would already be aware that Companhia CELG de Participações S/A's (BVMF:GPAR3) stock increased significantly by 32% over the past month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Companhia CELG de Participações S/A's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

Check out our latest analysis for Companhia CELG de Participações S/A

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Companhia CELG de Participações S/A is:

9.7% = R$110m ÷ R$1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every R$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of R$0.10.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Companhia CELG de Participações S/A's Earnings Growth And 9.7% ROE

It is quite clear that Companhia CELG de Participações S/A's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 16%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 2.4% seen by Companhia CELG de Participações S/A was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared Companhia CELG de Participações S/A's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 15% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:GPAR3 Past Earnings Growth February 14th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Companhia CELG de Participações S/A fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Companhia CELG de Participações S/A Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Companhia CELG de Participações S/A. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Companhia CELG de Participações S/A by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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