Stock Analysis

Return Trends At Auren Energia (BVMF:AURE3) Aren't Appealing

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Auren Energia (BVMF:AURE3) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Auren Energia:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.03 = R$886m ÷ (R$34b - R$4.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, Auren Energia has an ROCE of 3.0%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 3.7% average generated by the Renewable Energy industry.

See our latest analysis for Auren Energia

roce
BOVESPA:AURE3 Return on Capital Employed June 12th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Auren Energia compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Auren Energia

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
  • Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
Weakness
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • AURE3's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.
  • Annual earnings are forecast to decline for the next 3 years.

What Can We Tell From Auren Energia's ROCE Trend?

In terms of Auren Energia's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. Over the past four years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 3.0% and the business has deployed 124% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

The Bottom Line

As we've seen above, Auren Energia's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 23% over the last year. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.

Auren Energia does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

While Auren Energia isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BOVESPA:AURE3

Auren Energia

Engages in the investment platform for the management, operation, acquisition, development and construction of energy generation, transmission and trading assets in Brazil.

Good value with moderate growth potential.

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