Stock Analysis

Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

BOVESPA:RAIL3
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) so let's look a bit deeper.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Rumo, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.043 = R$1.7b ÷ (R$45b - R$5.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

So, Rumo has an ROCE of 4.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Transportation industry average of 13%.

See our latest analysis for Rumo

roce
BOVESPA:RAIL3 Return on Capital Employed August 18th 2022

In the above chart we have measured Rumo's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Rumo here for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Rumo Tell Us?

We're glad to see that ROCE is heading in the right direction, even if it is still low at the moment. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 4.3%. Basically the business is earning more per dollar of capital invested and in addition to that, 88% more capital is being employed now too. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.

The Bottom Line

To sum it up, Rumo has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. And with a respectable 91% awarded to those who held the stock over the last five years, you could argue that these developments are starting to get the attention they deserve. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Rumo can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.

While Rumo looks impressive, no company is worth an infinite price. The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether RAIL3 is currently trading for a fair price.

While Rumo isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.