Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Rumo's (BVMF:RAIL3) returns on capital, so let's have a look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Rumo is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.036 = R$1.6b ÷ (R$48b - R$4.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
Thus, Rumo has an ROCE of 3.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Transportation industry average of 11%.
View our latest analysis for Rumo
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Rumo compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Rumo here for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
Even though ROCE is still low in absolute terms, it's good to see it's heading in the right direction. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 3.6%. The company is effectively making more money per dollar of capital used, and it's worth noting that the amount of capital has increased too, by 122%. So we're very much inspired by what we're seeing at Rumo thanks to its ability to profitably reinvest capital.
The Bottom Line
In summary, it's great to see that Rumo can compound returns by consistently reinvesting capital at increasing rates of return, because these are some of the key ingredients of those highly sought after multi-baggers. Since the stock has returned a solid 71% to shareholders over the last five years, it's fair to say investors are beginning to recognize these changes. Therefore, we think it would be worth your time to check if these trends are going to continue.
Rumo does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
While Rumo may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:RAIL3
Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.