If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think CCR (BVMF:CCRO3) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on CCR is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.095 = R$2.6b ÷ (R$35b - R$7.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, CCR has an ROCE of 9.5%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 8.8%, it's still a low return by itself.
View our latest analysis for CCR
Above you can see how the current ROCE for CCR compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CCR here for free.
So How Is CCR's ROCE Trending?
In terms of CCR's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 9.5% from 21% five years ago. However it looks like CCR might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a related note, CCR has decreased its current liabilities to 22% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
Our Take On CCR's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by CCR's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 12% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 2 warning signs for CCR (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About BOVESPA:CCRO3
CCR
Provides infrastructure services for highway concessions, urban mobility, and airports in Brazil.
Solid track record and good value.