Stock Analysis

Is Telefônica Brasil (BVMF:VIVT3) A Risky Investment?

BOVESPA:VIVT3
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Telefônica Brasil S.A. (BVMF:VIVT3) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Telefônica Brasil

What Is Telefônica Brasil's Debt?

As you can see below, Telefônica Brasil had R$5.30b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds R$6.80b in cash, so it actually has R$1.50b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:VIVT3 Debt to Equity History December 28th 2024

A Look At Telefônica Brasil's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Telefônica Brasil had liabilities of R$24.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of R$30.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$6.80b as well as receivables valued at R$12.3b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$35.5b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Telefônica Brasil has a huge market capitalization of R$79.1b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Telefônica Brasil boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

One way Telefônica Brasil could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 14%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Telefônica Brasil can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Telefônica Brasil has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Telefônica Brasil actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing Up

While Telefônica Brasil does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of R$1.50b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of R$9.9b, being 131% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Telefônica Brasil's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Telefônica Brasil you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Telefônica Brasil might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.