Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Positivo Tecnologia S.A.'s (BVMF:POSI3) Muted Earnings

BOVESPA:POSI3
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Positivo Tecnologia S.A.'s (BVMF:POSI3) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Brazil, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Positivo Tecnologia has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Positivo Tecnologia

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:POSI3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 30th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Positivo Tecnologia's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Positivo Tecnologia's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 7.2% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 21% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.5% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Positivo Tecnologia is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Positivo Tecnologia's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Positivo Tecnologia's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Positivo Tecnologia (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.