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Cosan S.A.BOVESPA:CSAN3 Stock Report

Market Cap R$11.4b
Share Price
R$6.10
My Fair Value
R$11.65
47.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-54.0%
7D-1.6%
Portfolio Value
​
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Cosan S.A.

BOVESPA:CSAN3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$11.4b

Cosan (CSAN3) Stock Overview

Engages in the fuel distribution business. More details

CSAN3 fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends2/6

Rewards

Trading at 16.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 112.48% per year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

Highly volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the BR market

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

Dividend of 7.4% is not well covered by earnings


CSAN3 Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 23 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

CSAN3 logo
Cosan

Modernized Plants And Sustainable Energy Will Drive Future Markets

Key Takeaways Operational improvements and asset optimization are expected to enhance profitability, cash flow, and reduce debt through efficiency and selective divestitures. Expansion into sustainable energy and higher-margin segments positions the company to capitalize on global trends in renewables and low-carbon energy demand.
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R$11.65
FV
47.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
73.28%
Revenue growth p.a.
2users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
15users have followed this narrative
12 days ago author updated this narrative
CSAN3 logo
Cosan

Renewable Energy And Urban Expansion Will Drive Sustainable Momentum

Key Takeaways Accelerated debt reduction and operational improvements could significantly enhance profitability, efficiency, and dividend capacity across Cosan's portfolio. Strategic positioning in renewables, logistics, and infrastructure supports resilient, high-quality growth amid favorable structural trends and regulatory tailwinds.
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R$22.86
FV
73.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
76.95%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
0users have followed this narrative
24 days ago author updated this narrative
CSAN3 logo
Cosan

Debt Burdens Will Restrict Operations While Brazil Decarbonization Will Uplift

Key Takeaways High leverage, negative earnings, and persistent capital expenditure needs challenge profitability despite favorable positioning for long-term decarbonization trends. Regulatory, political, and execution risks could drive higher costs, revenue swings, and delays in earnings recovery across diversified business segments.
View narrative
R$6.9
FV
11.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
63.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
0users have followed this narrative
24 days ago author updated this narrative
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Cosan S.A. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Cosan
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceR$6.10
52 Week HighR$13.43
52 Week LowR$5.22
Beta0.72
1 Month Change-16.44%
3 Month Change-11.59%
1 Year Change-53.96%
3 Year Change-63.36%
5 Year Change-63.16%
Change since IPO31.65%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) Revenues Despite 28% Price Jump

Sep 10
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) Revenues Despite 28% Price Jump

Cosan's (BVMF:CSAN3) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Aug 12
Cosan's (BVMF:CSAN3) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Cosan S.A. (BVMF:CSAN3) Stock's 26% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

Jul 19
Cosan S.A. (BVMF:CSAN3) Stock's 26% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

We Think Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Jun 22
We Think Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

The Returns At Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Aren't Growing

May 10
The Returns At Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Aren't Growing

Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

Apr 16
Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

Returns On Capital At Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Have Hit The Brakes

Dec 25
Returns On Capital At Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Have Hit The Brakes
User avatar

Decisive Acquisitions And Raizen's Refocus Ignite Growth In Energy Sector

Strategic actions such as acquisitions and sales aim to enhance revenue growth and earnings stability across Cosan's diverse portfolio.

Market Cool On Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) Revenues

Dec 03
Market Cool On Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) Revenues

Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Oct 29
Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Cosan S.A. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 17
Cosan S.A. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Investors Holding Back On Cosan S.A. (BVMF:CSAN3)

Feb 29
Investors Holding Back On Cosan S.A. (BVMF:CSAN3)

Is Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Using Too Much Debt?

Feb 08
Is Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Using Too Much Debt?

Be Wary Of Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) And Its Returns On Capital

Dec 28
Be Wary Of Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) And Its Returns On Capital

Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Oct 26
Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Returns On Capital At Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Paint A Concerning Picture

Sep 06
Returns On Capital At Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Paint A Concerning Picture

Is Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) A Risky Investment?

Jul 20
Is Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) A Risky Investment?

Be Wary Of Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) And Its Returns On Capital

Jun 08
Be Wary Of Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) And Its Returns On Capital

Is Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Using Too Much Debt?

Mar 14
Is Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Using Too Much Debt?

How Did Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) 8.8% ROE Fare Against The Industry?

Feb 12
How Did Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) 8.8% ROE Fare Against The Industry?

What Type Of Shareholders Make Up Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) Share Registry?

Jan 28
What Type Of Shareholders Make Up Cosan S.A.'s (BVMF:CSAN3) Share Registry?

Returns On Capital - An Important Metric For Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3)

Dec 29
Returns On Capital - An Important Metric For Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3)

Here's Why Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Dec 14
Here's Why Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Should You Use Cosan's (BVMF:CSAN3) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

Nov 29
Should You Use Cosan's (BVMF:CSAN3) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

Shareholder Returns

CSAN3BR Specialty RetailBR Market
7D-1.6%-3.0%-1.5%
1Y-54.0%-25.6%0.2%

Return vs Industry: CSAN3 underperformed the BR Specialty Retail industry which returned -25.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CSAN3 underperformed the BR Market which returned 0.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CSAN3's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CSAN3 volatility
CSAN3 Average Weekly Movement8.6%
Specialty Retail Industry Average Movement5.8%
Market Average Movement4.2%
10% most volatile stocks in BR Market8.4%
10% least volatile stocks in BR Market2.0%

Stable Share Price: CSAN3's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the BR market.

Volatility Over Time: CSAN3's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of BR stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1936n/aMarcelo Martinswww.cosan.com.br

Cosan S.A. engages in the fuel distribution business. It operates through Raízen, Compass, Moove, Rumo, and Radar segments. The company’s Raízen segment engages in the production, commercialization, origination, and trading of sugar, as well as ethanol under the Shell brand; production and commercialization of bioenergy; trading and resale of electricity; and distribution and commercialization of fuels and lubricants.

Cosan S.A. Fundamentals Summary

How do Cosan's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CSAN3 fundamental statistics
Market capR$11.36b
Earnings (TTM)-R$12.01b
Revenue (TTM)R$43.55b
0.3x
P/S Ratio
-0.9x
P/E Ratio

Is CSAN3 overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CSAN3 income statement (TTM)
RevenueR$43.55b
Cost of RevenueR$29.84b
Gross ProfitR$13.71b
Other ExpensesR$25.72b
Earnings-R$12.01b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-6.45
Gross Margin31.48%
Net Profit Margin-27.58%
Debt/Equity Ratio182.5%

How did CSAN3 perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

7.4%
Current Dividend Yield
0%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/05 03:16
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Cosan S.A. is covered by 26 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Leticia Soares CamposBB Banco de Investimento S.A.
Isabella SimonatoBofA Global Research
Vicente Falanga NetoBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários