Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Cosan (BVMF:CSAN3) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Cosan is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.07 = R$9.0b ÷ (R$145b - R$17b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Cosan has an ROCE of 7.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 13%.
Check out our latest analysis for Cosan
In the above chart we have measured Cosan's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Cosan .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Cosan Tell Us?
In terms of Cosan's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 7.0% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 404% in that time. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
In Conclusion...
In conclusion, Cosan has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 44% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Cosan we've found 2 warning signs (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
While Cosan isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:CSAN3
Undervalued with high growth potential.