Stock Analysis

Has Dexco S.A.'s (BVMF:DXCO3) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Most readers would already be aware that Dexco's (BVMF:DXCO3) stock increased significantly by 11% over the past month. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Dexco's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Dexco

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dexco is:

13% = R$834m ÷ R$6.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every R$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated R$0.13 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Dexco's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

When you first look at it, Dexco's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 21%. In spite of this, Dexco was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 22% in the last five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Dexco's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 56% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:DXCO3 Past Earnings Growth December 19th 2023

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Dexco's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Dexco Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The three-year median payout ratio for Dexco is 47%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 53%. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Dexco is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Moreover, Dexco is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 25% over the next three years. Despite the lower expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Dexco has some positive attributes. Namely, its respectable earnings growth, which it achieved due to it retaining most of its profits. However, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BOVESPA:DXCO3

Dexco

Engages in the production and sale of wooden panels in Brazil and internationally.

Slight risk with moderate growth potential.

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