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Is Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (BVMF:CSNA3) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (BVMF:CSNA3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
What Is Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional had debt of R$32.5b at the end of December 2021, a reduction from R$35.3b over a year. However, it does have R$19.0b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$13.5b.
How Strong Is Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional had liabilities of R$24.5b due within a year, and liabilities of R$31.5b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had R$19.0b in cash and R$4.38b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$32.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of R$35.8b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional has net debt of just 0.67 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.5 times the interest expense over the last year. Better yet, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional grew its EBIT by 214% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 83% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
The good news is that Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:CSNA3
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
Operates as an integrated steel producer in Brazil and Latin America.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.