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Does Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (BVMF:CSNA3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (BVMF:CSNA3) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
What Is Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2022 Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional had debt of R$40.9b, up from R$32.5b in one year. However, it does have R$13.4b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$27.5b.
How Healthy Is Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional had liabilities of R$22.5b due within a year, and liabilities of R$41.1b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$13.4b as well as receivables valued at R$5.18b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$44.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the R$19.4b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.7) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.1, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Even worse, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional saw its EBIT tank 59% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
On the face of it, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:CSNA3
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
Operates as an integrated steel producer in Brazil and Latin America.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.