Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Caixa Seguridade Participações S.A. (BVMF:CXSE3) After Its First-Quarter Results

Caixa Seguridade Participações S.A. (BVMF:CXSE3) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 4.7% to hit R$1.4b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at R$0.35, some 3.0% above whatthe analysts had expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Caixa Seguridade Participações' 13 analysts is for revenues of R$5.83b in 2025. This would reflect a decent 11% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 9.2% to R$1.44. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of R$5.77b and earnings per share (EPS) of R$1.46 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

View our latest analysis for Caixa Seguridade Participações

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of R$17.61, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Caixa Seguridade Participações, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at R$21.00 and the most bearish at R$15.00 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Caixa Seguridade Participações' revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 15% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 29% p.a. growth over the last five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 5.6% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while Caixa Seguridade Participações' revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Caixa Seguridade Participações. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Caixa Seguridade Participações analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Caixa Seguridade Participações has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.