Stock Analysis

Here's Why Natura &Co Holding (BVMF:NTCO3) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

BOVESPA:NTCO3
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Natura &Co Holding S.A. (BVMF:NTCO3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Natura &Co Holding

What Is Natura &Co Holding's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Natura &Co Holding had R$5.75b of debt in June 2024, down from R$13.4b, one year before. However, it also had R$3.48b in cash, and so its net debt is R$2.26b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:NTCO3 Debt to Equity History October 4th 2024

How Strong Is Natura &Co Holding's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Natura &Co Holding had liabilities of R$9.48b falling due within a year, and liabilities of R$9.03b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$3.48b in cash and R$5.45b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$9.58b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Natura &Co Holding is worth R$20.3b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Given net debt is only 1.2 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Natura &Co Holding's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.1 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Importantly, Natura &Co Holding grew its EBIT by 76% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Natura &Co Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Natura &Co Holding burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Neither Natura &Co Holding's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Natura &Co Holding is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Natura &Co Holding has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.