Natura &Co Holding Valuation
Is NTCO3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of NTCO3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: NTCO3 (R$14.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$17.28)
Significantly Below Fair Value: NTCO3 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NTCO3?
Key metric: As NTCO3 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is NTCO3's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.7x |
| Sales | R$27.99b |
| Market Cap | R$19.75b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 11.6x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does NTCO3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 3x | ||
A051900 LG H&H | 0.8x | 3.0% | ₩5.1t |
A090430 Amorepacific | 2x | 10.2% | ₩6.7t |
1044 Hengan International Group | 1x | 3.2% | HK$25.5b |
531162 Emami | 8.2x | 8.8% | ₹302.5b |
NTCO3 Natura &Co Holding | 0.7x | 3.6% | R$19.7b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NTCO3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (3x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does NTCO3's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Personal Products Industry?
| 44 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NTCO3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the Global Personal Products industry average (1.5x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is NTCO3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.7x |
| Fair PS Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NTCO3's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | R$14.45 | R$18.91 +30.8% | 12.3% | R$24.50 | R$15.50 | n/a | 13 |
| Nov ’25 | R$13.62 | R$18.91 +38.8% | 12.3% | R$24.50 | R$15.50 | n/a | 13 |
| Oct ’25 | R$14.04 | R$18.59 +32.4% | 10.6% | R$22.50 | R$15.50 | n/a | 13 |
| Sep ’25 | R$13.55 | R$18.94 +39.8% | 9.5% | R$22.50 | R$17.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Aug ’25 | R$14.71 | R$19.44 +32.1% | 9.0% | R$22.50 | R$17.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Jul ’25 | R$15.55 | R$19.89 +27.9% | 9.0% | R$22.50 | R$17.00 | n/a | 12 |
| Jun ’25 | R$14.85 | R$19.79 +33.3% | 9.3% | R$22.50 | R$17.00 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’25 | R$16.59 | R$21.13 +27.4% | 24.7% | R$36.71 | R$17.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Apr ’25 | R$17.39 | R$19.61 +12.8% | 9.6% | R$23.00 | R$17.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Mar ’25 | R$16.62 | R$19.38 +16.6% | 10.7% | R$23.00 | R$16.50 | n/a | 11 |
| Feb ’25 | R$16.29 | R$19.25 +18.1% | 10.7% | R$23.00 | R$16.50 | n/a | 11 |
| Jan ’25 | R$16.89 | R$18.61 +10.2% | 12.6% | R$23.00 | R$15.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Dec ’24 | R$16.93 | R$18.43 +8.8% | 13.7% | R$23.00 | R$15.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Nov ’24 | R$12.58 | R$18.52 +47.2% | 14.6% | R$24.00 | R$15.00 | R$13.62 | 11 |
| Oct ’24 | R$14.56 | R$19.27 +32.3% | 16.0% | R$25.00 | R$15.00 | R$14.04 | 12 |
| Sep ’24 | R$15.37 | R$18.78 +22.2% | 18.7% | R$25.00 | R$14.30 | R$13.55 | 12 |
| Aug ’24 | R$18.34 | R$18.69 +1.9% | 19.3% | R$25.00 | R$14.00 | R$14.71 | 12 |
| Jul ’24 | R$16.74 | R$17.45 +4.2% | 15.7% | R$23.00 | R$14.00 | R$15.55 | 13 |
| Jun ’24 | R$14.39 | R$17.00 +18.1% | 18.8% | R$23.00 | R$12.20 | R$14.85 | 12 |
| May ’24 | R$11.06 | R$16.47 +48.9% | 21.3% | R$24.00 | R$11.00 | R$16.59 | 15 |
| Apr ’24 | R$13.20 | R$16.59 +25.7% | 20.8% | R$22.00 | R$11.00 | R$17.39 | 13 |
| Mar ’24 | R$14.49 | R$17.32 +19.5% | 27.0% | R$28.80 | R$11.00 | R$16.62 | 14 |
| Feb ’24 | R$14.00 | R$17.32 +23.7% | 27.1% | R$28.80 | R$11.00 | R$16.29 | 14 |
| Jan ’24 | R$11.61 | R$18.58 +60.0% | 31.0% | R$30.00 | R$11.00 | R$16.89 | 13 |
| Dec ’23 | R$11.33 | R$20.69 +82.6% | 31.3% | R$35.80 | R$11.00 | R$16.93 | 14 |
| Nov ’23 | R$14.77 | R$22.77 +54.2% | 32.0% | R$36.00 | R$12.00 | R$12.58 | 14 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.