We Think Instituto Hermes Pardini's (BVMF:PARD3) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Simply Wall St
February 17, 2022
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The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Instituto Hermes Pardini S.A.'s (BVMF:PARD3) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

View our latest analysis for Instituto Hermes Pardini

BOVESPA:PARD3 Earnings and Revenue History February 17th 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Instituto Hermes Pardini's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Instituto Hermes Pardini recorded an accrual ratio of -0.15. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of R$350m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of R$213.6m. Instituto Hermes Pardini's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Instituto Hermes Pardini's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Instituto Hermes Pardini has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Instituto Hermes Pardini's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Instituto Hermes Pardini has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Instituto Hermes Pardini's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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