Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That BRF (BVMF:BRFS3) Is Using Debt Extensively

BOVESPA:BRFS3
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies BRF S.A. (BVMF:BRFS3) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is BRF's Debt?

As you can see below, BRF had R$19.8b of debt at March 2024, down from R$24.5b a year prior. However, it does have R$10.0b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$9.80b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:BRFS3 Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024

A Look At BRF's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that BRF had liabilities of R$18.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of R$22.4b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of R$10.0b and R$6.05b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total R$25.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of R$36.6b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While BRF has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.4, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.7. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Notably, BRF's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 1,401% on last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine BRF's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, BRF's free cash flow amounted to 32% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Neither BRF's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that BRF is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for BRF that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.