BRF Valuation

Is BRFS3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BRFS3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BRFS3 (R$16.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$7.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BRFS3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BRFS3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BRFS3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BRFS3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BRFS3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
0.1x3.7%R$52.0b
MDIA3 M. Dias Branco Indústria e Comércio de Alimentos
1.1x3.2%R$11.4b
SMTO3 São Martinho
1.6x8.4%R$9.9b
MRFG3 Marfrig Global Foods
0.07x3.5%R$8.8b
0.5x4.9%R$28.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BRFS3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BRFS3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a58.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a58.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BRFS3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the South American Food industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BRFS3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BRFS3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BRFS3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BRFS3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$16.88
R$16.35
-3.1%
14.1%R$20.00R$12.00n/a11
Apr ’25R$16.00
R$14.73
-8.0%
18.3%R$18.00R$9.70n/a11
Mar ’25R$14.87
R$14.73
-1.0%
18.3%R$18.00R$9.70n/a11
Feb ’25R$14.33
R$14.17
-1.1%
18.3%R$17.00R$9.70n/a11
Jan ’25R$13.81
R$13.63
-1.3%
19.3%R$17.00R$8.30n/a12
Dec ’24R$15.18
R$12.54
-17.4%
17.9%R$17.00R$8.30n/a11
Nov ’24R$11.14
R$11.75
+5.4%
18.8%R$17.00R$7.70n/a11
Oct ’24R$10.19
R$11.61
+13.9%
19.5%R$17.00R$7.20n/a11
Sep ’24R$9.07
R$11.17
+23.1%
21.2%R$17.00R$7.20n/a13
Aug ’24R$9.77
R$10.58
+8.3%
24.0%R$17.00R$6.90n/a12
Jul ’24R$8.91
R$10.32
+15.8%
25.3%R$17.00R$6.20n/a12
Jun ’24R$8.47
R$10.15
+19.8%
26.3%R$17.00R$6.20n/a12
May ’24R$6.34
R$11.15
+75.9%
37.5%R$22.00R$6.30R$16.8813
Apr ’24R$6.21
R$12.47
+100.8%
36.0%R$22.00R$8.00R$16.0014
Mar ’24R$6.49
R$13.41
+106.7%
40.8%R$25.00R$8.00R$14.8714
Feb ’24R$8.57
R$16.73
+95.3%
34.5%R$25.00R$8.00R$14.3315
Jan ’24R$8.28
R$17.63
+113.0%
29.1%R$25.00R$8.00R$13.8115
Dec ’23R$8.57
R$19.39
+126.2%
21.1%R$26.00R$13.20R$15.1815
Nov ’23R$12.53
R$20.25
+61.6%
20.9%R$27.00R$13.20R$11.1415
Oct ’23R$12.88
R$21.07
+63.6%
21.3%R$29.00R$13.50R$10.1915
Sep ’23R$15.86
R$20.90
+31.8%
22.4%R$29.00R$13.50R$9.0715
Aug ’23R$16.72
R$19.62
+17.3%
25.4%R$29.00R$12.50R$9.7713
Jul ’23R$14.28
R$19.19
+34.4%
27.4%R$29.00R$12.00R$8.9113
Jun ’23R$15.34
R$19.96
+30.1%
27.8%R$29.00R$12.00R$8.4713
May ’23R$13.58
R$22.69
+67.1%
22.5%R$30.00R$12.50R$6.3413

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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