Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

BOVESPA:PETR3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$504.5b

Petróleo Brasileiro - Petrobras Valuation

Is PETR3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PETR3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PETR3 (R$41.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$73.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PETR3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PETR3?

Key metric: As PETR3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PETR3. This is calculated by dividing PETR3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PETR3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.8x
EarningsR$84.69b
Market CapR$504.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PETR3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PETR3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.7x
GAZP Gazprom
2.2xn/a₽4.7t
386 China Petroleum & Chemical
9.6x9.5%HK$769.4b
EQNR Equinor
6.9x-7.8%NOK 717.8b
28.2x28.5%UK£60.1b
PETR3 Petróleo Brasileiro - Petrobras
5.8x12.9%R$504.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PETR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (14.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PETR3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PETR3 5.8xIndustry Avg. 10.4xNo. of Companies85PE0816243240+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PETR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PETR3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PETR3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.8x
Fair PE Ratio9.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PETR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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