Equinor Valuation

Is EQNR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EQNR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EQNR (NOK254.45) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NOK176.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EQNR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EQNR?

Key metric: As EQNR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EQNR. This is calculated by dividing EQNR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EQNR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.5x
EarningsUS$9.41b
Market CapUS$61.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EQNR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EQNR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
VAR Vår Energi
13x16.7%NOK 84.9b
AKRBP Aker BP
8.3x0.7%NOK 134.8b
GAZP Gazprom
2.2xn/a₽4.7t
PETR4 Petróleo Brasileiro - Petrobras
5.6x14.6%R$496.3b
EQNR Equinor
6.5x-8.3%NOK 695.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EQNR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EQNR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EQNR 6.5xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EQNR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EQNR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EQNR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.5x
Fair PE Ratio10.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EQNR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EQNR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 254.45
NOK 301.13
+18.3%
15.4%NOK 401.41NOK 201.18n/a23
Dec ’25NOK 267.20
NOK 291.61
+9.1%
17.0%NOK 396.98NOK 199.23n/a24
Nov ’25NOK 259.00
NOK 296.32
+14.4%
15.1%NOK 403.56NOK 211.86n/a24
Oct ’25NOK 271.75
NOK 287.22
+5.7%
15.2%NOK 431.33NOK 212.39n/a23
Sep ’25NOK 281.50
NOK 286.85
+1.9%
16.0%NOK 429.46NOK 199.75n/a23
Aug ’25NOK 290.15
NOK 297.78
+2.6%
15.9%NOK 445.93NOK 208.10n/a23
Jul ’25NOK 305.50
NOK 300.15
-1.7%
17.3%NOK 484.90NOK 209.79n/a23
Jun ’25NOK 302.85
NOK 291.10
-3.9%
18.2%NOK 477.54NOK 200.57n/a23
May ’25NOK 298.95
NOK 302.49
+1.2%
18.4%NOK 503.70NOK 211.56n/a23
Apr ’25NOK 286.40
NOK 301.28
+5.2%
19.1%NOK 518.78NOK 218.29n/a23
Mar ’25NOK 264.00
NOK 296.37
+12.3%
18.9%NOK 498.24NOK 207.41n/a24
Feb ’25NOK 305.10
NOK 335.84
+10.1%
17.9%NOK 507.69NOK 242.49n/a24
Jan ’25NOK 322.15
NOK 338.20
+5.0%
15.3%NOK 460.10NOK 249.17n/a23
Dec ’24NOK 343.15
NOK 354.15
+3.2%
16.1%NOK 484.46NOK 245.09NOK 267.2023
Nov ’24NOK 374.55
NOK 355.91
-5.0%
16.3%NOK 500.08NOK 252.99NOK 259.0023
Oct ’24NOK 351.15
NOK 352.81
+0.5%
16.7%NOK 532.13NOK 267.83NOK 271.7523
Sep ’24NOK 335.45
NOK 351.08
+4.7%
16.5%NOK 525.69NOK 264.59NOK 281.5024
Aug ’24NOK 309.90
NOK 340.34
+9.8%
16.8%NOK 501.20NOK 252.26NOK 290.1525
Jul ’24NOK 312.10
NOK 352.38
+12.9%
15.1%NOK 501.91NOK 265.64NOK 305.5025
Jun ’24NOK 285.20
NOK 366.26
+28.4%
14.7%NOK 517.02NOK 273.64NOK 302.8525
May ’24NOK 305.00
NOK 355.84
+16.7%
14.4%NOK 512.00NOK 271.52NOK 298.9525
Apr ’24NOK 298.70
NOK 365.87
+22.5%
15.3%NOK 503.69NOK 275.66NOK 286.4025
Mar ’24NOK 318.15
NOK 371.13
+16.7%
14.5%NOK 501.12NOK 274.26NOK 264.0025
Feb ’24NOK 304.80
NOK 366.39
+20.2%
18.4%NOK 495.94NOK 260.88NOK 305.1024
Jan ’24NOK 351.80
NOK 380.63
+8.2%
14.9%NOK 476.73NOK 253.20NOK 322.1524
Dec ’23NOK 376.90
NOK 372.63
-1.1%
15.6%NOK 469.95NOK 249.60NOK 343.1524

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 08:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Equinor ASA is covered by 61 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John A. OlaisenABG Sundal Collier
Robert Jan VosABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Thijs BerkelderABN AMRO Bank N.V.