Equinor Valuation

Is EQNR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EQNR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EQNR (NOK300.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK307.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EQNR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EQNR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EQNR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA1.6x
PEG Ratio-0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EQNR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EQNR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.3x
AKRBP Aker BP
12.2x3.3%kr179.6b
VAR Vår Energi
14.1x13.7%kr94.1b
PETR4 Petróleo Brasileiro - Petrobras
4.1x-9.4%R$525.0b
6.9x-7.0%UK£84.4b
EQNR Equinor
6.7x-11.7%kr878.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EQNR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the peer average (9.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EQNR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-6.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-6.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EQNR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (6.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EQNR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EQNR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.7x
Fair PE Ratio9.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EQNR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EQNR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr300.40
kr304.06
+1.2%
19.3%kr516.88kr213.31n/a22
Apr ’25kr286.40
kr301.46
+5.3%
19.1%kr518.78kr218.29n/a23
Mar ’25kr264.00
kr296.45
+12.3%
18.9%kr498.24kr207.41n/a24
Feb ’25kr305.10
kr335.93
+10.1%
17.8%kr507.69kr241.02n/a24
Jan ’25kr322.15
kr338.20
+5.0%
15.3%kr460.10kr249.17n/a23
Dec ’24kr343.15
kr354.15
+3.2%
16.1%kr484.46kr245.09n/a23
Nov ’24kr374.55
kr355.91
-5.0%
16.3%kr500.08kr252.99n/a23
Oct ’24kr351.15
kr352.81
+0.5%
16.7%kr532.13kr267.83n/a23
Sep ’24kr335.45
kr351.08
+4.7%
16.5%kr525.69kr264.59n/a24
Aug ’24kr309.90
kr340.34
+9.8%
16.8%kr501.20kr252.26n/a25
Jul ’24kr312.10
kr352.38
+12.9%
15.1%kr501.91kr265.64n/a25
Jun ’24kr285.20
kr366.26
+28.4%
14.7%kr517.02kr273.64n/a25
May ’24kr305.00
kr355.84
+16.7%
14.4%kr512.00kr271.52n/a25
Apr ’24kr298.70
kr365.87
+22.5%
15.3%kr503.69kr275.66kr286.4025
Mar ’24kr318.15
kr371.13
+16.7%
14.5%kr501.12kr274.26kr264.0025
Feb ’24kr304.80
kr366.39
+20.2%
18.4%kr495.94kr260.88kr305.1024
Jan ’24kr351.80
kr380.63
+8.2%
14.9%kr476.73kr253.20kr322.1524
Dec ’23kr376.90
kr372.63
-1.1%
15.6%kr469.95kr249.60kr343.1524
Nov ’23kr382.70
kr389.88
+1.9%
16.6%kr499.96kr259.52kr374.5524
Oct ’23kr358.10
kr403.68
+12.7%
16.6%kr553.27kr270.64kr351.1523
Sep ’23kr382.55
kr380.15
-0.6%
17.7%kr541.16kr253.96kr335.4524
Aug ’23kr358.45
kr340.18
-5.1%
16.4%kr438.25kr183.44kr309.9024
Jul ’23kr330.00
kr346.41
+5.0%
16.6%kr443.87kr195.66kr312.1024
Jun ’23kr350.00
kr326.08
-6.8%
17.1%kr423.33kr186.61kr285.2023
May ’23kr321.05
kr324.52
+1.1%
18.6%kr453.12kr190.40kr305.0023
Apr ’23kr329.75
kr282.07
-14.5%
17.6%kr413.90kr182.59kr298.7025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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