Marathon Petroleum Corporation

BOVESPA:M1PC34 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$295.7b

Marathon Petroleum Valuation

Is M1PC34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M1PC34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: M1PC34 (R$869) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$1536.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M1PC34 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M1PC34?

Key metric: As M1PC34 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for M1PC34. This is calculated by dividing M1PC34's market cap by their current earnings.
What is M1PC34's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsUS$4.52b
Market CapUS$50.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does M1PC34's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for M1PC34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11x
CSAN3 Cosan
9.4x21.1%R$20.7b
PETR4 Petróleo Brasileiro - Petrobras
6x13.1%R$536.5b
VLO Valero Energy
12.1x-1.7%US$44.6b
PSX Phillips 66
16.4x15.1%US$55.0b
M1PC34 Marathon Petroleum
11.3x-12.0%R$50.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M1PC34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does M1PC34's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
M1PC34 11.3xIndustry Avg. 10.7xNo. of Companies83PE0816243240+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M1PC34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M1PC34's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M1PC34 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate M1PC34's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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