Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Grendene (BVMF:GRND3) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

BOVESPA:GRND3
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Grendene S.A. (BVMF:GRND3) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Grendene

What Is Grendene's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Grendene had R$96.6m of debt, an increase on R$11.2m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has R$1.13b in cash, leading to a R$1.04b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:GRND3 Debt to Equity History December 28th 2022

How Strong Is Grendene's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Grendene had liabilities of R$400.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$52.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of R$1.13b and R$1.25b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast R$1.93b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Grendene's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Grendene has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that Grendene's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 32% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Grendene's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Grendene may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Grendene produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 58% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Grendene has net cash of R$1.04b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Grendene's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Grendene you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.