GPS Participações e Empreendimentos S.A. Just Missed EPS By 12%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's been a good week for GPS Participações e Empreendimentos S.A. (BVMF:GGPS3) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 5.4% to R$17.71. Revenues were in line with forecasts, at R$4.1b, although statutory earnings per share came in 12% below what the analysts expected, at R$0.22 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for GPS Participações e Empreendimentos

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from GPS Participações e Empreendimentos' eight analysts is for revenues of R$17.6b in 2025. This would reflect a sizeable 30% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of R$17.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of R$1.22 in 2025. Overall, while the analysts have reconfirmed their revenue estimates, the consensus now no longer provides an EPS estimate. This implies that the market believes revenue is more important after these latest results.

There's been no real change to the consensus price target of R$25.00, with GPS Participações e Empreendimentos seemingly executing in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic GPS Participações e Empreendimentos analyst has a price target of R$27.50 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at R$21.00. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 23% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 23% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 15% annually. So it's pretty clear that GPS Participações e Empreendimentos is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

We have estimates for GPS Participações e Empreendimentos from its eight analysts out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for GPS Participações e Empreendimentos you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.