Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For ATMA Participações S.A. (BVMF:ATMP3) Underpins Stock's 29% Plummet

BOVESPA:ATMP3
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the ATMA Participações S.A. (BVMF:ATMP3) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 71% in the last year.

Since its price has dipped substantially, ATMA Participações' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Professional Services industry in Brazil, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.4x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for ATMA Participações

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:ATMP3 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 28th 2024

How Has ATMA Participações Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at ATMA Participações over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for ATMA Participações, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For ATMA Participações?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, ATMA Participações would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 59%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 60% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we understand why ATMA Participações' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From ATMA Participações' P/S?

ATMA Participações' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's no surprise that ATMA Participações maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for ATMA Participações (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ATMA Participações is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.