Stock Analysis

Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On KMM AD (BUL:KMM)

BUL:KMM
Source: Shutterstock

When close to half the companies in Bulgaria have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may consider KMM AD (BUL:KMM) as a highly attractive investment with its 3.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that KMM AD's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for KMM AD

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BUL:KMM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 23rd 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on KMM AD's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, KMM AD would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 65% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 87% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that KMM AD is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From KMM AD's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that KMM AD currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for KMM AD you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KMM AD might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.