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AGH

Agria Group Holding AD BUL:AGH Stock Report

Last Price

лв29.80

Market Cap

лв202.6m

7D

2.1%

1Y

154.7%

Updated

13 Aug, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
AGH fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance6/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends2/6

AGH Stock Overview

Agria Group Holding AD, together with its subsidiaries, cultivates agricultural land and produces grain and oil-bearing crops in the Republic of Bulgaria.

Agria Group Holding AD Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Agria Group Holding AD
Historical stock prices
Current Share Priceлв29.80
52 Week Highлв32.40
52 Week Lowлв11.00
Beta0.47
1 Month Change3.47%
3 Month Change3.83%
1 Year Change154.70%
3 Year Change231.11%
5 Year Change129.23%
Change since IPO293.14%

Recent News & Updates

Jun 18
Agria Group Holding AD (BUL:AGH) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Agria Group Holding AD (BUL:AGH) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...

Shareholder Returns

AGHBG IndustrialsBG Market
7D2.1%0.3%0.9%
1Y154.7%-18.8%9.5%

Return vs Industry: AGH exceeded the BG Industrials industry which returned -18.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AGH exceeded the BG Market which returned 9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AGH's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AGH volatility
AGH Average Weekly Movement4.5%
Industrials Industry Average Movement5.0%
Market Average Movement5.2%
10% most volatile stocks in BG Market8.8%
10% least volatile stocks in BG Market2.5%

Stable Share Price: AGH is not significantly more volatile than the rest of BG stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 4% a week.

Volatility Over Time: AGH's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
n/a416Emil Raykovhttps://www.agriabg.com

Agria Group Holding AD, together with its subsidiaries, cultivates agricultural land and produces grain and oil-bearing crops in the Republic of Bulgaria. The company cultivates wheat, barley, maize, sunflower, corn, and rape seeds, as well as offers services related to various agronomic techniques. It is also involved in the purchasing/renting of agricultural land, construction of irrigation systems, and building and management of grain storages; production and trading of sunflower crude, refined oil, husk pallets, and meals; and grain and grain products trading and export activities.

Agria Group Holding AD Fundamentals Summary

How do Agria Group Holding AD's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AGH fundamental statistics
Market Capлв202.64m
Earnings (TTM)лв40.29m
Revenue (TTM)лв481.41m

5.0x

P/E Ratio

0.4x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
AGH income statement (TTM)
Revenueлв481.41m
Cost of Revenueлв399.94m
Gross Profitлв81.47m
Other Expensesлв41.17m
Earningsлв40.29m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)5.93
Gross Margin16.92%
Net Profit Margin8.37%
Debt/Equity Ratio98.0%

How did AGH perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.5%

Current Dividend Yield

2%

Payout Ratio
We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is AGH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AGH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.8x
PEG Ratio-0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AGH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

AGH PE Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PE ratio for AGH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.2x
CHIM Chimimport AD
4.5xn/aлв196.1m
MONB Monbat AD
85.9xn/aлв202.7m
SPH Stara Planina Hold
14.1xn/aлв187.0m
IHB Industrial Holding Bulgaria AD
8.4xn/aлв218.8m
AGH Agria Group Holding AD
5x-6.7%лв202.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the peer average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AGH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Industrials Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the European Industrials industry average (17.8x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AGH's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGH (BGN29.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (BGN31.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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Future Growth

How is Agria Group Holding AD forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

Future Growth Score

0/6

Future Growth Score 0/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


-6.7%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AGH's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.7% per year).

Earnings vs Market: AGH's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AGH's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AGH's revenue (5.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the BG market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AGH's revenue (5.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if AGH's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Past Performance

How has Agria Group Holding AD performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

6/6

Past Performance Score 6/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


22.2%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: AGH has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: AGH's current net profit margins (8.4%) are higher than last year (4.6%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: AGH's earnings have grown significantly by 22.2% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: AGH's earnings growth over the past year (132.4%) exceeds its 5-year average (22.2% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: AGH earnings growth over the past year (132.4%) exceeded the Industrials industry 48.2%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: AGH's Return on Equity (20.3%) is considered high.


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Financial Health

How is Agria Group Holding AD's financial position?

Financial Health Score

4/6

Financial Health Score 4/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: AGH's short term assets (BGN304.4M) exceed its short term liabilities (BGN253.0M).

Long Term Liabilities: AGH's short term assets (BGN304.4M) exceed its long term liabilities (BGN54.3M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: AGH's net debt to equity ratio (96.3%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: AGH's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 148.1% to 98% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: AGH's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (5.9%).

Interest Coverage: AGH's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (17.7x coverage).


Balance Sheet


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Dividend

What is Agria Group Holding AD current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

2/6

Dividend Score 2/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Cash Flow Coverage


0.49%

Current Dividend Yield

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: AGH's dividend (0.49%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the BG market (1.31%).

High Dividend: AGH's dividend (0.49%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the BG market (6.12%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Too early to tell whether AGH's dividend payments have been stable as they only just started paying a dividend.

Growing Dividend: Too early to tell if AGH's dividend payments are increasing as they only just started paying a dividend.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its low payout ratio (2.5%), AGH's dividend payments are thoroughly covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its low cash payout ratio (17.5%), AGH's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

лв6k

CEO Compensation


CEO

Emil Raykov

no data

Tenure

лв6,000

Compensation

Mr. Emil Veselinov Raykov serves as the Chairman of the Board of Directors and Chief Executive Officer at Agria Group Holding AD (formerly known as Agria Group Holding JSC). Mr. Raykov serves as a Manager...


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Agria Group Holding AD's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Agria Group Holding AD
  • Ticker: AGH
  • Exchange: BUL
  • Founded: NaN
  • Industry: Industrial Conglomerates
  • Sector: Capital Goods
  • Implied Market Cap: лв202.640m
  • Shares outstanding: 6.80m
  • Website: https://www.agriabg.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Agria Group Holding AD
  • Business Center
  • 9th Floor
  • Varna
  • 9002
  • Bulgaria

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/08/13 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/08/12 00:00
Earnings2022/03/31
Annual Earnings2021/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.