NIO Valuation

Is N3IA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of N3IA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate N3IA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate N3IA's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for N3IA?

Key metric: As N3IA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for N3IA. This is calculated by dividing N3IA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is N3IA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesCN¥63.13b
Market CapCN¥73.73b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does N3IA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for N3IA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
7270 Subaru
0.4x2.0%JP¥1.8t
2238 Guangzhou Automobile Group
0.3x9.2%HK$77.7b
7201 Nissan Motor
0.1x2.6%JP¥1.5t
XPEV XPeng
2.2x30.7%US$11.3b
1.2x23.1%€10.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: N3IA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does N3IA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
N3IA 1.2xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies5PS00.40.81.21.62+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: N3IA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the European Auto industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is N3IA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

N3IA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate N3IA's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst N3IA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.60
€6.26
+36.0%
29.1%€12.00€3.84n/a26
Nov ’25n/a
€6.26
0%
28.0%€11.75€3.69n/a26
Oct ’25n/a
€6.04
0%
29.4%€11.59€3.64n/a26
Sep ’25n/a
€6.05
0%
29.2%€11.51€3.68n/a25
Aug ’25n/a
€6.29
0%
29.4%€11.58€3.71n/a25
Jul ’25n/a
€6.60
0%
29.1%€11.63€3.72n/a27
Jun ’25n/a
€6.79
0%
31.2%€13.15€3.68n/a27
May ’25n/a
€6.90
0%
31.2%€13.34€3.73n/a27
Apr ’25n/a
€7.08
0%
28.1%€13.23€4.42n/a26
Mar ’25€5.01
€9.48
+89.2%
29.1%€16.44€4.63n/a27
Feb ’25€5.21
€9.78
+87.8%
26.1%€16.55€6.93n/a27
Jan ’25€8.48
€10.14
+19.6%
28.0%€17.34€6.79n/a25
Dec ’24€6.78
€12.24
+80.6%
29.9%€20.57€7.07n/a25
Nov ’24n/a
€12.73
0%
29.4%€20.62€7.09n/a25
Oct ’24€8.34
€12.95
+55.3%
27.5%€20.47€7.03n/a25
Sep ’24n/a
€13.03
0%
27.3%€20.23€6.98n/a26
Aug ’24€13.47
€10.98
-18.5%
31.7%€19.12€6.06n/a27
Jul ’24n/a
€10.07
0%
27.2%€18.03€6.04n/a27
Jun ’24€6.62
€12.73
+92.5%
25.0%€22.48€8.68n/a25
May ’24€6.98
€13.14
+88.2%
27.3%€22.65€8.74n/a25
Apr ’24€8.38
€13.99
+67.0%
30.1%€24.10€8.89n/a27
Mar ’24€8.82
€16.01
+81.6%
27.5%€25.23€9.38€5.0127
Feb ’24n/a
€16.83
0%
25.6%€26.31€9.78€5.2128
Jan ’24€9.52
€17.27
+81.5%
25.5%€26.39€9.80€8.4828
Dec ’23n/a
€17.73
0%
28.7%€32.30€10.95€6.7827
Nov ’23n/a
€28.52
0%
33.7%€64.92€14.23n/a25

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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