Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Banimmo SA (EBR:BANI) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Banimmo's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Banimmo had €79.3m of debt, an increase on €66.1m, over one year. However, it also had €19.2m in cash, and so its net debt is €60.1m.
How Healthy Is Banimmo's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Banimmo had liabilities of €11.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of €85.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €19.2m as well as receivables valued at €5.10m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €72.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €32.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Banimmo would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Banimmo shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (35.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.59 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Banimmo is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of €1.6m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Banimmo's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Banimmo burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Banimmo's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. We think the chances that Banimmo has too much debt a very significant. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Banimmo is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About ENXTBR:BANI
Banimmo
Acquires, develops, holds, leases, and sells real estate properties in Belgium.
Exceptional growth potential with imperfect balance sheet.