Stock Analysis

Here's Why Euronav (EBR:EURN) Can Afford Some Debt

ENXTBR:EURN
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Euronav NV (EBR:EURN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Euronav

What Is Euronav's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2021 Euronav had debt of US$1.76b, up from US$1.20b in one year. On the flip side, it has US$162.2m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.60b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTBR:EURN Debt to Equity History December 21st 2021

How Healthy Is Euronav's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Euronav had liabilities of US$593.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.33b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$162.2m in cash and US$436.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.33b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.71b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Euronav's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Euronav's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Euronav had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 69%, to US$455m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Euronav's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$271m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$303m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Euronav (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Euronav is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.