If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Picanol (EBR:PIC), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Picanol:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = €239m ÷ (€3.0b - €756m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
So, Picanol has an ROCE of 11%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 10% generated by the Machinery industry.
View our latest analysis for Picanol
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Picanol compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From Picanol's ROCE Trend?
In terms of Picanol's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 11% from 22% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Bottom Line On Picanol's ROCE
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Picanol is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 41% in the last five years. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.
Picanol does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Picanol that you might be interested in.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTBR:PIC
Picanol
Picanol nv, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mechanical engineering, agriculture, food, energy, water management, natural resources, and other industrial businesses in Belgium and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with solid track record.