The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Picanol nv (EBR:PIC) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Picanol
What Is Picanol's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Picanol had €427.4m of debt at December 2020, down from €480.4m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of €365.9m, its net debt is less, at about €61.5m.
How Strong Is Picanol's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Picanol had liabilities of €476.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €822.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €365.9m in cash and €348.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €584.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Picanol is worth €1.41b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Picanol's net debt is only 0.18 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 19.5 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Picanol has boosted its EBIT by 89%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Picanol's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Picanol actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
The good news is that Picanol's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Overall, we don't think Picanol is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Picanol's earnings per share history for free.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About ENXTBR:PIC
Picanol
Picanol nv, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mechanical engineering, agriculture, food, energy, water management, natural resources, and other industrial businesses in Belgium and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with solid track record.