Origin Energy (CHIA:ORG) - Stock Price, News & Analysis

ORG Stock Overview

An integrated energy company, engages in the exploration and production of natural gas, electricity generation, wholesale and retail sale of electricity and gas, and sale of liquefied natural gas in Australia and internationally. More details

ORG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	5/6
Future Growth	0/6
Past Performance	4/6
Financial Health	6/6
Dividends	3/6

Rewards

Trading at 21.4% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings grew by 32.4% over the past year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 4.4% per year for the next 3 years

Large one-off items impacting financial results

Dividend of 5% is not well covered by free cash flows

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Origin Energy Limited Competitors

APA Group

ASX:APA

AU$9.3b

AGL Energy

ASX:AGL

AU$7.3b

Emera

TSX:EMA

CA$15.2b

Pinnacle West Capital

NYSE:PNW

US$10.6b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Origin Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	AU$10.98
52 Week High	AU$11.06
52 Week Low	AU$7.77
Beta	1.22
11 Month Change	12.73%
3 Month Change	12.33%
1 Year Change	28.72%
33 Year Change	120.70%
5 Year Change	26.06%
Change since IPO	-26.70%

Recent updates

Shareholder Returns

	ORG	AU Electric Utilities	AU Market
7D	5.2%	3.9%	0.9%
1Y	28.7%	18.3%	18.4%

Return vs Industry: ORG exceeded the Australian Electric Utilities industry which returned 18.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ORG exceeded the Australian Market which returned 18.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ORG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ORG volatility
ORG Average Weekly Movement	2.6%
Electric Utilities Industry Average Movement	3.5%
Market Average Movement	8.5%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market	17.5%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market	3.2%

Stable Share Price: ORG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: ORG's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1946	5,616	Frank Calabria	www.originenergy.com.au

Origin Energy Limited, an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration and production of natural gas, electricity generation, wholesale and retail sale of electricity and gas, and sale of liquefied natural gas in Australia and internationally. The company operates through, Energy Markets, and Integrated Gas segments. Its exploration and production portfolio includes the Bowen and Surat basins in Queensland; the Browse basin in Western Australia; and the Cooper-Eromanga basin in Queensland.

Origin Energy Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Origin Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ORG fundamental statistics
Market cap	AU$18.90b
Earnings (TTM)	AU$1.40b
Revenue (TTM)	AU$16.18b

13.5x

P/E Ratio

1.2x

P/S Ratio

Is ORG overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
ORG income statement (TTM)
Revenue	AU$16.18b
Cost of Revenue	AU$12.85b
Gross Profit	AU$3.33b
Other Expenses	AU$1.93b
Earnings	AU$1.40b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	0.81
Gross Margin	20.58%
Net Profit Margin	8.63%
Debt/Equity Ratio	30.8%

How did ORG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

5.0%

Current Dividend Yield

68%

Payout Ratio

ORG Stock Overview

Rewards

Risk Analysis

Origin Energy Limited Competitors

ASX:APA

AU$9.3b

ASX:AGL

AU$7.3b

TSX:EMA

CA$15.2b

NYSE:PNW

US$10.6b

Price History & Performance

Recent News & Updates

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold AU$1.9m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.28 per share

Origin Energy Limited Announces Changes to Its Board

Final dividend of AU$0.28 announced

Origin Energy Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Paid Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payment Date of September 27, 2023

Recent updates

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold AU$1.9m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.28 per share

Origin Energy Limited Announces Changes to Its Board

Final dividend of AU$0.28 announced

Origin Energy Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Paid Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payment Date of September 27, 2023

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.81 (vs AU$0.61 in FY 2023)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold AU$2.0m worth of stock

Origin Energy Limited Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Insufficient new directors

Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG) acquired Walcha Energy.

Origin Energy Limited Announces Retirement of Lawrie Tremaine as Chief Financial Officer at the End of July 2024

Origin Energy Limited to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Oct 31, 2024

Bidders Reportedly Down Pens on Origin, Regroup in 2024

Origin Vows to Go Green, Bid or No Bid

Australian Super Rejects a Seat at The Transaction Table

Brookfield, EIG Reportedly Planning to Launch Hostile Bid for Origin

Australian Super Pty Ltd Rejected The Opportunity to Join Brookfield and EIG.

Origin Energy Shareholder Rejects Fresh Brookfield $10.5 billion Bid

AustralianSuper to Vote Against Brookfield's $9.8 bln offer for Origin Energy Ltd

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.20 per share at 4.6% yield

Origin Energy Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Paid Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payment Date of September 29, 2023

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.61 (vs AU$0.81 loss in FY 2022)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.17 per share at 4.7% yield

Origin Energy Limited Announces Dividend for A Period of Six Months Ended December 31, 2022

Origin Energy Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2023

Origin Energy Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Origin Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 17, 2023

Origin Energy Reportedly Exits CWP Race

Brookfield, MidOcean Place $1.8bn Takeover Bid for Australia's Origin

Tamboran Resources Limited (ASX:TBN) and Bryan Sheffield, the Founder, Chairman and CEO of US unconventional E&P Parsley Energy acquired 77.5% interest in three Beetaloo Basin permits (EP 98, 117 and 76) from Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG).

Origin Energy Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Now 21% undervalued

Tamboran Resources Limited (ASX:TBN) and Bryan Sheffield, the Founder, Chairman and CEO of US unconventional E&P Parsley Energy agreed to acquire 77.5 per cent interest in three Beetaloo Basin permits (EP 98, 117 and 76) from Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG) for AUD 60 million.

Tamboran Resources Limited (ASX:TBN) and Bryan Sheffield, the Founder, Chairman and CEO of US unconventional E&P Parsley Energy agreed to acquire 77.5 per cent interest in three Beetaloo Basin permits (EP 98, 117 and 76) for AUD 60 million.

Tamboran Resources Limited (ASX:TBN) and Bryan Sheffield, the Founder, Chairman and CEO of US unconventional E&P Parsley Energy agreed to acquire 77.5 per cent interest in three Beetaloo Basin permits (EP 98, 117 and 76) for AUD 60 million.

Tamboran (B1) Pty Limited agreed to acquire an unknown stake in Beetaloo Joint Venture from Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG) for AUD 60 million.

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.17 per share

Chow Tai Fook Reportedly May Be Still Searching for an Investor for Its Alinta Energy

Full year 2022 earnings released: AU$0.81 loss per share (vs AU$1.30 loss in FY 2021)

Origin Energy Limited Announces Final Dividend, Payable on 30 September 2022

Origin-CDPQ Reportedly in Renewables Play

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Insider recently bought AU$99k worth of stock

Insider recently bought AU$98k worth of stock

Origin Energy Limited Appoints Nora Scheinkestel as an Independent Non-Executive Director

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$138k worth of stock

Shareholder Returns

Price Volatility

About the Company

Origin Energy Limited Fundamentals Summary

13.5x

1.2x

Earnings & Revenue

Dividends

5.0%