Origin Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Origin Energy's earnings are forecast to decline at 4.4% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1.4% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 4.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-4.4%

Earnings growth rate

-4.5%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities earnings growth	1.8%
Revenue growth rate	1.4%
Future return on equity	12.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:ORG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	16,631	1,250	1,433	1,250	8
6/30/2026	16,235	1,205	1,096	999	10
6/30/2025	16,150	1,468	1,015	1,378	10
6/30/2024	16,183	1,397	506	1,114	N/A
3/31/2024	15,971	1,524	4	528	N/A
12/31/2023	15,759	1,651	-498	-59	N/A
9/30/2023	16,143	1,353	-757	-346	N/A
6/30/2023	16,526	1,055	-1,016	-633	N/A
3/31/2023	16,674	78	-755	-404	N/A
12/31/2022	16,821	-899	-494	-176	N/A
9/30/2022	15,694	-1,164	-95	178	N/A
6/30/2022	14,567	-1,429	304	531	N/A
3/31/2022	13,578	-1,829	148	374	N/A
12/31/2021	12,588	-2,229	-8	216	N/A
9/30/2021	12,364	-2,255	393	590	N/A
6/30/2021	12,140	-2,281	793	964	N/A
3/31/2021	12,319	-1,593	903	1,117	N/A
12/31/2020	12,504	-699	1,012	1,269	N/A
9/30/2020	12,838	-308	794	1,110	N/A
6/30/2020	13,171	83	576	951	N/A
3/31/2020	13,498	549	707	1,037	N/A
12/31/2019	13,824	1,014	838	1,123	N/A
9/30/2019	14,289	1,113	978	1,224	N/A
6/30/2019	14,753	1,211	1,117	1,325	N/A
3/31/2019	14,890	1,212	986	1,234	N/A
12/31/2018	15,027	1,212	855	1,142	N/A
9/30/2018	14,824	746	827	1,133	N/A
6/30/2018	14,620	280	798	1,123	N/A
12/31/2017	14,832	-810	N/A	1,328	N/A
9/30/2017	14,239	-1,431	N/A	1,309	N/A
6/30/2017	13,646	-2,052	N/A	1,289	N/A
12/31/2016	11,912	-1,482	N/A	1,431	N/A
9/30/2016	11,684	-895	N/A	1,418	N/A
6/30/2016	11,456	-309	N/A	1,404	N/A
12/31/2015	11,505	-651	N/A	1,260	N/A
9/30/2015	11,699	-584	N/A	1,547	N/A
6/30/2015	11,893	-517	N/A	1,833	N/A
12/31/2014	11,142	-74	N/A	2,186	N/A
9/30/2014	11,753	123	N/A	2,207	N/A
6/30/2014	12,363	319	N/A	2,227	N/A
3/31/2014	14,527	353	N/A	2,080	N/A
12/31/2013	14,535	176	N/A	1,932	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ORG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.4% per year).

Earnings vs Market: ORG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ORG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ORG's revenue (1.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ORG's revenue (1.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ORG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.9%).

Origin Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Origin Energy Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Origin Energy Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Recent updates

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold AU$1.9m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.28 per share

Origin Energy Limited Announces Changes to Its Board

Final dividend of AU$0.28 announced

Origin Energy Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Paid Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payment Date of September 27, 2023

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.81 (vs AU$0.61 in FY 2023)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold AU$2.0m worth of stock

Origin Energy Limited Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Insufficient new directors

Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG) acquired Walcha Energy.

Origin Energy Limited Announces Retirement of Lawrie Tremaine as Chief Financial Officer at the End of July 2024

Origin Energy Limited to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Oct 31, 2024

Bidders Reportedly Down Pens on Origin, Regroup in 2024

Origin Vows to Go Green, Bid or No Bid

Australian Super Rejects a Seat at The Transaction Table

Brookfield, EIG Reportedly Planning to Launch Hostile Bid for Origin

Australian Super Pty Ltd Rejected The Opportunity to Join Brookfield and EIG.

Origin Energy Shareholder Rejects Fresh Brookfield $10.5 billion Bid

AustralianSuper to Vote Against Brookfield's $9.8 bln offer for Origin Energy Ltd

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.20 per share at 4.6% yield

Origin Energy Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Paid Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payment Date of September 29, 2023

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.61 (vs AU$0.81 loss in FY 2022)

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.17 per share at 4.7% yield

Origin Energy Limited Announces Dividend for A Period of Six Months Ended December 31, 2022

Origin Energy Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2023

Origin Energy Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Origin Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 17, 2023

Origin Energy Reportedly Exits CWP Race

Brookfield, MidOcean Place $1.8bn Takeover Bid for Australia's Origin

Tamboran Resources Limited (ASX:TBN) and Bryan Sheffield, the Founder, Chairman and CEO of US unconventional E&P Parsley Energy acquired 77.5% interest in three Beetaloo Basin permits (EP 98, 117 and 76) from Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG).

Origin Energy Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2023

Now 21% undervalued

Tamboran Resources Limited (ASX:TBN) and Bryan Sheffield, the Founder, Chairman and CEO of US unconventional E&P Parsley Energy agreed to acquire 77.5 per cent interest in three Beetaloo Basin permits (EP 98, 117 and 76) from Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG) for AUD 60 million.

Tamboran Resources Limited (ASX:TBN) and Bryan Sheffield, the Founder, Chairman and CEO of US unconventional E&P Parsley Energy agreed to acquire 77.5 per cent interest in three Beetaloo Basin permits (EP 98, 117 and 76) for AUD 60 million.

Tamboran Resources Limited (ASX:TBN) and Bryan Sheffield, the Founder, Chairman and CEO of US unconventional E&P Parsley Energy agreed to acquire 77.5 per cent interest in three Beetaloo Basin permits (EP 98, 117 and 76) for AUD 60 million.

Tamboran (B1) Pty Limited agreed to acquire an unknown stake in Beetaloo Joint Venture from Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG) for AUD 60 million.

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.17 per share

Chow Tai Fook Reportedly May Be Still Searching for an Investor for Its Alinta Energy

Full year 2022 earnings released: AU$0.81 loss per share (vs AU$1.30 loss in FY 2021)

Origin Energy Limited Announces Final Dividend, Payable on 30 September 2022

Origin-CDPQ Reportedly in Renewables Play

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Insider recently bought AU$99k worth of stock

Insider recently bought AU$98k worth of stock

Origin Energy Limited Appoints Nora Scheinkestel as an Independent Non-Executive Director

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$138k worth of stock

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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