Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Gratifii Limited (ASX:GTI) Stock Yet As It Plummets 29%

ASX:GTI
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Gratifii Limited (ASX:GTI) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 69% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Gratifii may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Gratifii

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:GTI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 26th 2024

How Gratifii Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Gratifii has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Gratifii will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Gratifii's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Gratifii would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 53% last year. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 71% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 22% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Gratifii's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Gratifii's P/S

Gratifii's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

To us, it seems Gratifii currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Gratifii (2 are concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gratifii, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Gratifii is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.