Stock Analysis

Does Adacel Technologies (ASX:ADA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Adacel Technologies Limited (ASX:ADA) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Adacel Technologies

What Is Adacel Technologies's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Adacel Technologies had US$5.99m of debt, up from US$20.0k a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$1.55m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$4.44m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:ADA Debt to Equity History August 28th 2024

How Strong Is Adacel Technologies' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Adacel Technologies had liabilities of US$15.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.05m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.55m as well as receivables valued at US$11.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$7.77m.

Adacel Technologies has a market capitalization of US$23.3m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Adacel Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Adacel Technologies reported revenue of US$31m, which is a gain of 14%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Adacel Technologies had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$1.3m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$3.9m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Adacel Technologies (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:ADA

Adacel Technologies

Provides air traffic management, air traffic control simulation, and training systems and services in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Estonia.

Slight and slightly overvalued.

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