Lovisa Holdings Limited

CHIA:LOV Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$3.0b

Lovisa Holdings Valuation

Is LOV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOV (A$27.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$28.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOV is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOV?

Key metric: As LOV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LOV. This is calculated by dividing LOV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LOV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.5x
EarningsAU$82.41m
Market CapAU$3.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28x
SUL Super Retail Group
13.6x2.9%AU$3.3b
BBN Baby Bunting Group
43.9x45.4%AU$219.2m
SSG Shaver Shop Group
11.5x7.6%AU$173.6m
ABY Adore Beauty Group
43.2xn/aAU$94.0m
LOV Lovisa Holdings
36.5x15.3%AU$3.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the peer average (28x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
LOV 36.5xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies3PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.5x
Fair PE Ratio22.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LOV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$27.35
AU$29.18
+6.7%
12.1%AU$36.50AU$24.50n/a16
Nov ’25AU$29.68
AU$30.80
+3.8%
11.7%AU$36.50AU$24.50n/a16
Oct ’25AU$36.14
AU$30.29
-16.2%
15.0%AU$36.50AU$19.21n/a17
Sep ’25AU$30.93
AU$30.29
-2.1%
15.0%AU$36.50AU$19.21n/a17
Aug ’25AU$34.91
AU$30.31
-13.2%
15.0%AU$37.00AU$19.21n/a17
Jul ’25AU$31.97
AU$30.00
-6.2%
15.3%AU$36.00AU$19.21n/a17
Jun ’25AU$33.67
AU$28.87
-14.2%
17.8%AU$39.00AU$19.21n/a17
May ’25AU$30.96
AU$28.56
-7.7%
17.0%AU$39.00AU$19.21n/a17
Apr ’25AU$33.31
AU$27.84
-16.4%
15.6%AU$35.00AU$19.21n/a15
Mar ’25AU$31.90
AU$27.50
-13.8%
14.4%AU$32.50AU$19.21n/a15
Feb ’25AU$22.50
AU$23.17
+3.0%
11.2%AU$27.50AU$18.00n/a14
Jan ’25AU$24.51
AU$22.81
-6.9%
12.3%AU$27.50AU$18.00n/a14
Dec ’24AU$19.32
AU$22.84
+18.2%
12.4%AU$27.50AU$18.00n/a14
Nov ’24AU$17.88
AU$23.77
+32.9%
12.2%AU$29.00AU$18.00AU$29.6814
Oct ’24AU$19.35
AU$23.86
+23.3%
12.1%AU$29.00AU$18.00AU$36.1414
Sep ’24AU$22.37
AU$23.86
+6.7%
12.1%AU$29.00AU$18.00AU$30.9314
Aug ’24AU$21.58
AU$24.86
+15.2%
19.5%AU$35.70AU$16.00AU$34.9114
Jul ’24AU$19.47
AU$24.95
+28.1%
20.4%AU$35.70AU$16.00AU$31.9714
Jun ’24AU$20.24
AU$26.95
+33.2%
17.4%AU$35.70AU$16.50AU$33.6715
May ’24AU$26.43
AU$27.22
+3.0%
17.2%AU$35.70AU$16.50AU$30.9614
Apr ’24AU$24.26
AU$25.98
+7.1%
14.3%AU$30.25AU$16.50AU$33.3113
Mar ’24AU$24.30
AU$25.99
+7.0%
14.5%AU$30.25AU$16.50AU$31.9013
Feb ’24AU$25.54
AU$25.33
-0.8%
17.1%AU$29.75AU$15.82AU$22.5013
Jan ’24AU$23.13
AU$24.92
+7.7%
17.6%AU$29.75AU$15.82AU$24.5113
Dec ’23AU$23.01
AU$24.92
+8.3%
17.6%AU$29.75AU$15.82AU$19.3213
Nov ’23AU$24.63
AU$23.27
-5.5%
18.4%AU$29.20AU$15.82AU$17.8811

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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