Lovisa Holdings Limited

CHIA:LOV Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$3.3b

Lovisa Holdings Valuation

Is LOV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOV (A$29.69) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$28.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOV is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOV?

Key metric: As LOV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LOV. This is calculated by dividing LOV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LOV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.2x
EarningsAU$82.41m
Market CapAU$3.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
SUL Super Retail Group
14.6x2.9%AU$3.5b
BBN Baby Bunting Group
45.9x45.4%AU$229.2m
SSG Shaver Shop Group
11.4x7.6%AU$172.3m
APE Eagers Automotive
11.6x2.3%AU$3.0b
LOV Lovisa Holdings
40.2x14.9%AU$3.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.2x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
LOV 40.2xIndustry Avg. 17.8xNo. of Companies3PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.2x) compared to the Australian Specialty Retail industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.2x
Fair PE Ratio22.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LOV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$29.69
AU$28.50
-4.0%
13.1%AU$36.00AU$23.50n/a16
Dec ’25AU$29.52
AU$28.50
-3.5%
13.1%AU$36.00AU$23.50n/a16
Nov ’25AU$29.68
AU$30.80
+3.8%
11.7%AU$36.50AU$24.50n/a16
Oct ’25AU$36.14
AU$30.29
-16.2%
15.0%AU$36.50AU$19.21n/a17
Sep ’25AU$30.93
AU$30.29
-2.1%
15.0%AU$36.50AU$19.21n/a17
Aug ’25AU$34.91
AU$30.31
-13.2%
15.0%AU$37.00AU$19.21n/a17
Jul ’25AU$31.97
AU$30.00
-6.2%
15.3%AU$36.00AU$19.21n/a17
Jun ’25AU$33.67
AU$28.87
-14.2%
17.8%AU$39.00AU$19.21n/a17
May ’25AU$30.96
AU$28.56
-7.7%
17.0%AU$39.00AU$19.21n/a17
Apr ’25AU$33.31
AU$27.84
-16.4%
15.6%AU$35.00AU$19.21n/a15
Mar ’25AU$31.90
AU$27.50
-13.8%
14.4%AU$32.50AU$19.21n/a15
Feb ’25AU$22.50
AU$23.17
+3.0%
11.2%AU$27.50AU$18.00n/a14
Jan ’25AU$24.51
AU$22.81
-6.9%
12.3%AU$27.50AU$18.00n/a14
Dec ’24AU$19.32
AU$22.84
+18.2%
12.4%AU$27.50AU$18.00AU$29.5214
Nov ’24AU$17.88
AU$23.77
+32.9%
12.2%AU$29.00AU$18.00AU$29.6814
Oct ’24AU$19.35
AU$23.86
+23.3%
12.1%AU$29.00AU$18.00AU$36.1414
Sep ’24AU$22.37
AU$23.86
+6.7%
12.1%AU$29.00AU$18.00AU$30.9314
Aug ’24AU$21.58
AU$24.86
+15.2%
19.5%AU$35.70AU$16.00AU$34.9114
Jul ’24AU$19.47
AU$24.95
+28.1%
20.4%AU$35.70AU$16.00AU$31.9714
Jun ’24AU$20.24
AU$26.95
+33.2%
17.4%AU$35.70AU$16.50AU$33.6715
May ’24AU$26.43
AU$27.22
+3.0%
17.2%AU$35.70AU$16.50AU$30.9614
Apr ’24AU$24.26
AU$25.98
+7.1%
14.3%AU$30.25AU$16.50AU$33.3113
Mar ’24AU$24.30
AU$25.99
+7.0%
14.5%AU$30.25AU$16.50AU$31.9013
Feb ’24AU$25.54
AU$25.33
-0.8%
17.1%AU$29.75AU$15.82AU$22.5013
Jan ’24AU$23.13
AU$24.92
+7.7%
17.6%AU$29.75AU$15.82AU$24.5113
Dec ’23AU$23.01
AU$24.92
+8.3%
17.6%AU$29.75AU$15.82AU$19.3213

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 02:55
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lovisa Holdings Limited is covered by 24 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Sam HaddadBell Potter