Lovisa Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Lovisa Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 14.9% and 11.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 121% in 3 years.

Key information

14.9%

Earnings growth rate

14.5%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	8.2%
Revenue growth rate	11.8%
Future return on equity	121.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	25 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:LOV - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	1,032	145	181	262	16
6/30/2026	906	122	152	231	16
6/30/2025	787	101	131	190	16
6/30/2024	699	82	149	188	N/A
3/31/2024	676	78	128	179	N/A
12/31/2023	654	74	107	170	N/A
9/30/2023	625	71	86	156	N/A
7/2/2023	596	68	64	141	N/A
4/2/2023	576	69	81	149	N/A
1/1/2023	556	70	98	157	N/A
10/1/2022	508	64	96	144	N/A
7/3/2022	459	58	93	131	N/A
4/3/2022	409	50	83	113	N/A
12/26/2021	359	41	72	96	N/A
9/26/2021	324	33	69	88	N/A
6/27/2021	288	25	65	81	N/A
3/27/2021	257	14	66	81	N/A
12/27/2020	226	4	68	82	N/A
9/27/2020	234	8	60	81	N/A
6/28/2020	242	11	53	80	N/A
3/28/2020	261	25	43	72	N/A
12/29/2019	280	38	32	64	N/A
9/29/2019	265	38	27	55	N/A
6/30/2019	250	37	22	46	N/A
3/31/2019	241	37	24	46	N/A
12/30/2018	232	37	26	46	N/A
9/30/2018	224	36	29	47	N/A
7/1/2018	217	36	31	47	N/A
4/1/2018	207	35	N/A	47	N/A
12/31/2017	198	34	N/A	47	N/A
9/30/2017	188	31	N/A	43	N/A
7/3/2017	179	29	N/A	40	N/A
4/3/2017	175	26	N/A	38	N/A
1/1/2017	171	23	N/A	37	N/A
10/1/2016	162	20	N/A	30	N/A
7/3/2016	153	17	N/A	23	N/A
4/3/2016	149	18	N/A	21	N/A
12/27/2015	144	19	N/A	18	N/A
9/27/2015	139	25	N/A	19	N/A
6/28/2015	134	31	N/A	19	N/A
6/29/2014	106	5	N/A	15	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LOV's forecast earnings growth (14.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: LOV's earnings (14.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LOV's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: LOV's revenue (11.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LOV's revenue (11.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LOV's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (121%).

Lovisa Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Lovisa Holdings Limited Updates Temporary Closures of European Store

Recent updates

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Lovisa Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 22, 2024

Non-Executive Director recently sold AU$16m worth of stock

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Final dividend of AU$0.37 announced

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.75 (vs AU$0.63 in FY 2023)

Lovisa Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 27, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.50 per share

First half dividend of AU$0.50 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.49 (vs AU$0.44 in 1H 2023)

Lovisa Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 22, 2024

Lovisa Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 22, 2023

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.31 per share at 3.1% yield

Lovisa Holdings Limited Declares Fully Franked Dividend for the Six Months Ended July 2, 2023, Payable on October 19, 2023

New minor risk - Financial position

Lovisa Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 24, 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.38 per share at 3.1% yield

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.44 (vs AU$0.34 in 1H 2022)

Lovisa Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 22, 2023

Lovisa Holdings Limited Appoints Bruce Carter as Director

Lovisa Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 18, 2022

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.37 per share

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.54 (vs AU$0.23 in FY 2021)

Lovisa Holdings Limited Declares Dividend for the Six Months Ended July 7, 2022, Payable on October 20, 2022

Lovisa Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 29, 2022

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.37 per share

First half 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Lovisa Holdings Limited Announces the Dividend for Period of Six Months Ended December 26, 2021, Payment Date Is April 21, 2022

Lovisa Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Feb 24, 2022

High number of new directors

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$388k worth of stock

CEO & Director recently bought AU$998k worth of stock

High number of new directors

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.23 (vs AU$0.11 in FY 2020)

Upcoming Dividend of AU$0.20 Per Share

MD & Executive Director recently sold AU$28m worth of stock

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.18 (vs AU$0.25 in 1H 2020)

New 90-day high: AU$13.00

Lovisa Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Feb 19, 2021

Lovisa Holdings Limited (ASX:LOV) agreed to acquire Beeline Austria Gmbh and Beeline Retail and Beeline Retail B.V. and Beeline Retail Gmbh and Beeline Retail S.à R.L. and beeline Switzerland from beeline GmbH for €60 million.

Lovisa Holdings Limited Updates Temporary Closures of European Store

Market pulls back on stock over the past week

New 90-day high: AU$8.97

New 90-day high: AU$7.87

Earnings released

Lovisa Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Aug 26, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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