Stock Analysis

Shareholders 33% loss in Michael Hill International (ASX:MHJ) partly attributable to the company's decline in earnings over past year

ASX:MHJ
Source: Shutterstock

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX:MHJ) share price up 29% in a single quarter. But that is minimal compensation for the share price under-performance over the last year. In fact, the price has declined 38% in a year, falling short of the returns you could get by investing in an index fund.

While the last year has been tough for Michael Hill International shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Michael Hill International

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Unfortunately Michael Hill International reported an EPS drop of 72% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 38% the share price fall. So despite the weak per-share profits, some investors are probably relieved the situation wasn't more difficult.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:MHJ Earnings Per Share Growth August 28th 2024

Dive deeper into Michael Hill International's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Michael Hill International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Michael Hill International's TSR for the last 1 year was -33%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Michael Hill International had a tough year, with a total loss of 33% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 16%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 10%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Michael Hill International better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Michael Hill International that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.