Stock Analysis

Does Lovisa Holdings (ASX:LOV) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ASX:LOV
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Lovisa Holdings Limited (ASX:LOV) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Lovisa Holdings

How Much Debt Does Lovisa Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at January 2023 Lovisa Holdings had debt of AU$26.0m, up from none in one year. But it also has AU$50.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has AU$24.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:LOV Debt to Equity History June 23rd 2023

How Strong Is Lovisa Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Lovisa Holdings had liabilities of AU$161.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$214.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$50.0m and AU$22.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total AU$303.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Lovisa Holdings has a market capitalization of AU$1.94b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Lovisa Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Lovisa Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 72%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Lovisa Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Lovisa Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last two years, Lovisa Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing Up

Although Lovisa Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of AU$24.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of AU$98m, being 105% of its EBIT. So we don't think Lovisa Holdings's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lovisa Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.